๐Ÿ“Š raki research
๐ŸŽฏ DAILY2026-06-05

๐ŸŽฏ 2026-06-05 DAILY Marking

Claude CLI๊ฐ€ 24h ์‚ฐ์—… ์ด์Šˆ์—์„œ ์ž๋™ ์ถ”์ถœ ยท ๐Ÿ”ฅ 3 / ๐Ÿ“Œ 13 / ๐Ÿ’ก 1

๐Ÿ”ฅ Critical (3๊ฑด)

๐Ÿ”ฅ Critical ai-substrate semiconductor

์‹ฌํ… broker ๋ชฉํ‘œ์ฃผ๊ฐ€ +127.9% ์ƒํ–ฅ(DB์ฆ๊ถŒ) โ€” AI ๊ธฐํŒ ์ˆ˜ํ˜œ + NAND ์ˆ˜๊ธ‰ ํƒ€์ดํŠธ ๊ต์ฐจ ํ™•์ธ

์‹ฌํ… ๋ชฉํ‘œ์ฃผ๊ฐ€ DB์ฆ๊ถŒ 68,000โ†’155,000์›(+127.9%) ์ƒํ–ฅ. NAND ์ปจํŠธ๋กค๋Ÿฌ Phison ์—ญ๋Œ€ ์ตœ๊ณ  ๋งค์ถœ(YoY +301%), ํ•˜์ดํผ์Šค์ผ€์ผ๋Ÿฌ CAPEX ๊ตฌ์กฐ์  ํ™•๋Œ€, HBMยทAI chip ๊ธฐํŒ ์ˆ˜์š” ํญ์ฆ chain๊ณผ ์ง๊ฒฐ. ์ •ํ›ˆ๋‹˜ ๊ด€์‹ฌ๋“ฑ๋ก ์ข…๋ชฉ(ํ•˜์ดํผ์Šค์ผ€์ผ๋Ÿฌ CAPEXยท๋ธŒ๋กœ๋“œ์ปด custom ASIC ์ˆ˜ํ˜œ ๋ฆฌ์ŠคํŠธ ํฌํ•จ). target_price_surgeยทsecular_paradigm_shift ๋™์‹œ ํŠธ๋ฆฌ๊ฑฐ ์ถฉ์กฑ.
๐Ÿ“Š 83/100 secular catalyst 3m
์ปจ์„ผ revision
+25.0%
backlog
high
๋ชฉํ‘œ๊ฐ€ ฮ”
+127.9%
โš ๏ธ Falsifier (thesis ๋ฐ˜์ „ ์กฐ๊ฑด): [secular-evidence=3] | AI ๊ธฐํŒ ์‹ ๊ทœ ์ˆ˜์ฃผ ๋‘”ํ™”, HBM capa ์ฆ์„ค ์ง€์—ฐ์œผ๋กœ ๊ธฐํŒ ์ˆ˜์š” ์†Œํ™” ์ง€์—ฐ, ๋ณต์ˆ˜ broker ํ•˜ํ–ฅ ์ „ํ™˜ ์‹œ thesis ๋ฐ˜์ „.
๐Ÿ“‹ chain yaml snippet (vault์— ์ถ”๊ฐ€)
  - chain_id: mark-20260605-crit-yaml-0
    name: ์‹ฌํ… broker ๋ชฉํ‘œ์ฃผ๊ฐ€ +127.9% ์ƒํ–ฅ(DB์ฆ๊ถŒ) โ€” AI ๊ธฐํŒ ์ˆ˜ํ˜œ + NAND ์ˆ˜๊ธ‰ ํƒ€์ดํŠธ ๊ต์ฐจ ํ™•์ธ
    L0_trend: ์‹ฌํ… ๋ชฉํ‘œ์ฃผ๊ฐ€ DB์ฆ๊ถŒ 68,000โ†’155,000์›(+127.9%) ์ƒํ–ฅ. NAND ์ปจํŠธ๋กค๋Ÿฌ Phison ์—ญ๋Œ€ ์ตœ๊ณ  ๋งค์ถœ(YoY +301%), ํ•˜์ดํผ์Šค์ผ€์ผ๋Ÿฌ CAPEX ๊ตฌ์กฐ์  ํ™•๋Œ€, HBMยทAI chip ๊ธฐํŒ ์ˆ˜์š” 
    L1_industry: TODO
    L2_bottleneck:
      - TODO
    L3_primary:
      KR:
        - {name: ์‹ฌํ…, code: '222800'}
      Global: []
    L4_picks_shovels:
      KR: []
      Global: []
    L5_ecosystem:
      KR: []
      Global: []
    horizon: 1-3y
    confidence: low
    related_chains: []
    sources:
      - "2026-06-05 Claude marking (critical)"
    notes: |
      ์‹ฌํ… ๋ชฉํ‘œ์ฃผ๊ฐ€ DB์ฆ๊ถŒ 68,000โ†’155,000์›(+127.9%) ์ƒํ–ฅ. NAND ์ปจํŠธ๋กค๋Ÿฌ Phison ์—ญ๋Œ€ ์ตœ๊ณ  ๋งค์ถœ(YoY +301%), ํ•˜์ดํผ์Šค์ผ€์ผ๋Ÿฌ CAPEX ๊ตฌ์กฐ์  ํ™•๋Œ€, HBMยทAI chip ๊ธฐํŒ ์ˆ˜์š” ํญ์ฆ chain๊ณผ ์ง๊ฒฐ. ์ •ํ›ˆ๋‹˜ ๊ด€์‹ฌ๋“ฑ๋ก ์ข…๋ชฉ(ํ•˜์ดํผ์Šค์ผ€์ผ๋Ÿฌ CAPEXยท๋ธŒ๋กœ๋“œ์ปด custom ASIC ์ˆ˜ํ˜œ ๋ฆฌ์ŠคํŠธ ํฌํ•จ). target_pric
๐Ÿ“Ž ์›๋ฌธ #60 ยท [๋ฉ”๋ฆฌ์ธ  Tech ๊น€์„ ์šฐ, ์–‘์Šน์ˆ˜, ๊น€๋™๊ด€] #53 ยท ๐Ÿ—ฝ์—„๋ธŒ๋ ๋ผ(Umbrella Research) ๋ฆฌ์„œ์น˜+
๐Ÿ”ฅ Critical mark-20260518-staged-0 defense

ํ•œํ™”์‹œ์Šคํ…œ 3Q25 EPS YoY +1,424% + broker ๋ชฉํ‘œ์ฃผ๊ฐ€ +276.5% ์ƒํ–ฅ โ€” K-๋ฐฉ์‚ฐ ์ „์žยท์œ„์„ฑ ์ด์ต ๋ชจ๋ฉ˜ํ…€ ์ž„๊ณ„์น˜ ๋ŒํŒŒ

ํ•œํ™”์‹œ์Šคํ…œ 3Q25 EPS YoY +1,424.5%, ๋งค์ถœ YoY +26.4% ๊ธฐ๋ก. ํ•˜๋‚˜์ฆ๊ถŒ์ด ๋ชฉํ‘œ์ฃผ๊ฐ€๋ฅผ 34,000์›โ†’128,000์›(+276.5%)์œผ๋กœ ๋Œ€ํญ ์ƒํ–ฅ. DART ์—ฐ์† ๋ถ„๊ธฐ EPS +25% ์ด์ƒ streak ํ™•์ธ, CANSLIM C ๊ฐ•๋ ฅ ์ถฉ์กฑ. ๋ฐฉ์‚ฐ ์ „์žยท์œ„์„ฑ ์‚ฌ์—…๋ถ€๊ฐ€ ๊ตฌ์กฐ์  ์ด์ต ๋ชจ๋ฉ˜ํ…€ ์ž„๊ณ„์น˜ ๋ŒํŒŒ. ์ •ํ›ˆ๋‹˜ ์ง์ ‘ ๊ด€์‹ฌ๋“ฑ๋ก ์ข…๋ชฉ์œผ๋กœ K-๋ฐฉ์‚ฐ ์ˆ˜์ถœ paradigm chain๊ณผ ์ •ํ•ฉ.
๐Ÿ“Š 93/100 secular catalyst 3m quality high
EPS YoY
+1424.5%
์ปจ์„ผ revision
+30.0%
SUE streak
3๋ถ„๊ธฐ ์—ฐ์†
backlog
high
๋ชฉํ‘œ๊ฐ€ ฮ”
+276.5%
โš ๏ธ Falsifier (thesis ๋ฐ˜์ „ ์กฐ๊ฑด): [secular-evidence=5] | ๋ฐฉ์‚ฐ ์ „์ž ์ˆ˜์ฃผ ๊ฐ์†Œ ๋˜๋Š” ์œ„์„ฑ ์‚ฌ์—…๋ถ€ ์ ์ž ์ „ํ™˜, ๋ณต์ˆ˜ broker ๋ชฉํ‘œ์ฃผ๊ฐ€ ํ•˜ํ–ฅ ์‹œ thesis ๋ฐ˜์ „. OP ๋งˆ์ง„ ์ผํšŒ์„ฑ ์—ฌ๋ถ€ ์ถ”๊ฐ€ ํ™•์ธ ํ•„์š”.
๐Ÿ“‹ chain yaml snippet (vault์— ์ถ”๊ฐ€)
  - chain_id: mark-20260605-crit-yaml-1
    name: ํ•œํ™”์‹œ์Šคํ…œ 3Q25 EPS YoY +1,424% + broker ๋ชฉํ‘œ์ฃผ๊ฐ€ +276.5% ์ƒํ–ฅ โ€” K-๋ฐฉ์‚ฐ ์ „์žยท์œ„์„ฑ ์ด์ต ๋ชจ๋ฉ˜ํ…€ ์ž„๊ณ„์น˜ ๋ŒํŒŒ
    L0_trend: ํ•œํ™”์‹œ์Šคํ…œ 3Q25 EPS YoY +1,424.5%, ๋งค์ถœ YoY +26.4% ๊ธฐ๋ก. ํ•˜๋‚˜์ฆ๊ถŒ์ด ๋ชฉํ‘œ์ฃผ๊ฐ€๋ฅผ 34,000์›โ†’128,000์›(+276.5%)์œผ๋กœ ๋Œ€ํญ ์ƒํ–ฅ. DART ์—ฐ์† ๋ถ„๊ธฐ EPS +25% ์ด์ƒ st
    L1_industry: TODO
    L2_bottleneck:
      - TODO
    L3_primary:
      KR:
        - {name: ํ•œํ™”์‹œ์Šคํ…œ, code: '272210'}
      Global: []
    L4_picks_shovels:
      KR: []
      Global: []
    L5_ecosystem:
      KR: []
      Global: []
    horizon: 1-3y
    confidence: low
    related_chains: []
    sources:
      - "2026-06-05 Claude marking (critical)"
    notes: |
      ํ•œํ™”์‹œ์Šคํ…œ 3Q25 EPS YoY +1,424.5%, ๋งค์ถœ YoY +26.4% ๊ธฐ๋ก. ํ•˜๋‚˜์ฆ๊ถŒ์ด ๋ชฉํ‘œ์ฃผ๊ฐ€๋ฅผ 34,000์›โ†’128,000์›(+276.5%)์œผ๋กœ ๋Œ€ํญ ์ƒํ–ฅ. DART ์—ฐ์† ๋ถ„๊ธฐ EPS +25% ์ด์ƒ streak ํ™•์ธ, CANSLIM C ๊ฐ•๋ ฅ ์ถฉ์กฑ. ๋ฐฉ์‚ฐ ์ „์žยท์œ„์„ฑ ์‚ฌ์—…๋ถ€๊ฐ€ ๊ตฌ์กฐ์  ์ด์ต ๋ชจ๋ฉ˜ํ…€ ์ž„๊ณ„์น˜ ๋ŒํŒŒ. ์ •ํ›ˆ๋‹˜ ์ง์ ‘ ๊ด€์‹ฌ๋“ฑ๋ก ์ข…๋ชฉ์œผ๋กœ K-๋ฐฉ์‚ฐ
๐Ÿ“Ž ์›๋ฌธ #15 ยท AWAKE - ์‹ค์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์ฃผ์‹ ๊ณต์‹œ ์ •๋ฆฌ์ฑ„๋„
๐Ÿ”ฅ Critical ai-substrate semiconductor

NAND ์ปจํŠธ๋กค๋Ÿฌ Phison 5์›” ๋งค์ถœ YoY +301% ์—ญ๋Œ€ ์ตœ๊ณ ์น˜ ์žฌ๊ฒฝ์‹  โ€” AI ์ถ”๋ก  ํ™•์‚ฐ็™ผ NAND ์ˆ˜๊ธ‰ ํƒ€์ดํŠธ ๊ตฌ์กฐ ํ™•์ธ

๋Œ€๋งŒ Phison 5์›” ๋งค์ถœ์ด ์ „์›”์— ์ด์–ด ์—ญ๋Œ€ ์ตœ๊ณ ์น˜๋ฅผ ์žฌ์ฐจ ๊ฒฝ์‹ (+12.9% MoM, +301.2% YoY). AI ์ถ”๋ก (Inference) ์• ํ”Œ๋ฆฌ์ผ€์ด์…˜ ํ™•์‚ฐ์œผ๋กœ NAND ์Šคํ† ๋ฆฌ์ง€ ์ˆ˜์š” ๊ฐ•์„ธ๊ฐ€ ์ง€์†๋˜๋Š” ๊ฐ€์šด๋ฐ ๊ณต๊ธ‰์€ ๋ณด์ˆ˜์ ์œผ๋กœ ์œ ์ง€๋ผ ํƒ€์ดํŠธํ•œ ์ˆ˜๊ธ‰ ํ™˜๊ฒฝ ์ง€์†. ์ˆ˜์š” ๋‘”ํ™” ์กฐ์ง ์—†์Œ์„ ์—…์ฒด๊ฐ€ ์ง์ ‘ ๊ฐ•์กฐ. HBMยทDRAM์— ์ด์–ด NAND๊นŒ์ง€ AI ๋ฉ”๋ชจ๋ฆฌ ๊ตฌ์กฐ์  ๊ณต๊ธ‰ ๋ถ€์กฑ ํ™•์ธ โ†’ ์‹ฌํ…(๊ธฐํŒ)ยท์‚ผ์„ฑ์ „์žยทSKํ•˜์ด๋‹‰์Šค ์ง์ ‘ ์ˆ˜ํ˜œ chain ๊ฐ•ํ™”.
๐Ÿ“Š 82/100 secular catalyst 1m quality high
EPS YoY
+301.2%
์ปจ์„ผ revision
+15.0%
SUE streak
2๋ถ„๊ธฐ ์—ฐ์†
backlog
high
๋ชฉํ‘œ๊ฐ€ ฮ”
+20.0%
โš ๏ธ Falsifier (thesis ๋ฐ˜์ „ ์กฐ๊ฑด): [secular-evidence=5] | Phison ์›”๊ฐ„ ๋งค์ถœ MoM ์—ญ์„ฑ์žฅ ์ „ํ™˜(2๊ฐœ์›” ์—ฐ์†) ๋˜๋Š” AI ์ถ”๋ก  ์ˆ˜์š” ๋‘”ํ™” ๊ณต์‹ ์–ธ๊ธ‰ ์‹œ thesis ๋ฐ˜์ „. ์‹ฌํ… ์ปจ์„ผ EPS ์—ญ๋ฐฉํ–ฅ revision ์‹œ watch๋กœ ๊ฐ•๋“ฑ.
๐Ÿ“‹ chain yaml snippet (vault์— ์ถ”๊ฐ€)
  - chain_id: mark-20260605-crit-yaml-2
    name: NAND ์ปจํŠธ๋กค๋Ÿฌ Phison 5์›” ๋งค์ถœ YoY +301% ์—ญ๋Œ€ ์ตœ๊ณ ์น˜ ์žฌ๊ฒฝ์‹  โ€” AI ์ถ”๋ก  ํ™•์‚ฐ็™ผ NAND ์ˆ˜๊ธ‰ ํƒ€์ดํŠธ ๊ตฌ์กฐ ํ™•์ธ
    L0_trend: ๋Œ€๋งŒ Phison 5์›” ๋งค์ถœ์ด ์ „์›”์— ์ด์–ด ์—ญ๋Œ€ ์ตœ๊ณ ์น˜๋ฅผ ์žฌ์ฐจ ๊ฒฝ์‹ (+12.9% MoM, +301.2% YoY). AI ์ถ”๋ก (Inference) ์• ํ”Œ๋ฆฌ์ผ€์ด์…˜ ํ™•์‚ฐ์œผ๋กœ NAND ์Šคํ† ๋ฆฌ์ง€ ์ˆ˜์š” ๊ฐ•์„ธ๊ฐ€ ์ง€์†๋˜๋Š” ๊ฐ€์šด๋ฐ ๊ณต
    L1_industry: TODO
    L2_bottleneck:
      - TODO
    L3_primary:
      KR:
        - {name: ์‚ผ์„ฑ์ „์ž, code: '005930'}
        - {name: SKํ•˜์ด๋‹‰์Šค, code: '000660'}
        - {name: ์‹ฌํ…, code: '222800'}
        - {name: ์ด๋‹‰์Šค, code: '452400'}
      Global: []
    L4_picks_shovels:
      KR: []
      Global: []
    L5_ecosystem:
      KR: []
      Global: []
    horizon: 1-3y
    confidence: low
    related_chains: []
    sources:
      - "2026-06-05 Claude marking (critical)"
    notes: |
      ๋Œ€๋งŒ Phison 5์›” ๋งค์ถœ์ด ์ „์›”์— ์ด์–ด ์—ญ๋Œ€ ์ตœ๊ณ ์น˜๋ฅผ ์žฌ์ฐจ ๊ฒฝ์‹ (+12.9% MoM, +301.2% YoY). AI ์ถ”๋ก (Inference) ์• ํ”Œ๋ฆฌ์ผ€์ด์…˜ ํ™•์‚ฐ์œผ๋กœ NAND ์Šคํ† ๋ฆฌ์ง€ ์ˆ˜์š” ๊ฐ•์„ธ๊ฐ€ ์ง€์†๋˜๋Š” ๊ฐ€์šด๋ฐ ๊ณต๊ธ‰์€ ๋ณด์ˆ˜์ ์œผ๋กœ ์œ ์ง€๋ผ ํƒ€์ดํŠธํ•œ ์ˆ˜๊ธ‰ ํ™˜๊ฒฝ ์ง€์†. ์ˆ˜์š” ๋‘”ํ™” ์กฐ์ง ์—†์Œ์„ ์—…์ฒด๊ฐ€ ์ง์ ‘ ๊ฐ•์กฐ. HBMยทDRAM์— ์ด์–ด NAND๊นŒ์ง€ AI ๋ฉ”๋ชจ๋ฆฌ ๊ตฌ
๐Ÿ“Ž ์›๋ฌธ #60 ยท [๋ฉ”๋ฆฌ์ธ  Tech ๊น€์„ ์šฐ, ์–‘์Šน์ˆ˜, ๊น€๋™๊ด€]

๐Ÿ“Œ Watch (13๊ฑด)

๐Ÿ“Œ Watch ai-substrate semiconductor

๊ธฐ๊ฐ€๋น„์Šค ์ผ๋ณธ ๋ฐ˜๋„์ฒด ๊ธฐํŒ ์—…์ฒด์™€ 95์–ต ๊ทœ๋ชจ ๊ฒ€์‚ฌยท์ˆ˜๋ฆฌ์žฅ๋น„ ๊ณต๊ธ‰๊ณ„์•ฝ ์ฒด๊ฒฐ โ€” AI ๊ธฐํŒ ์ˆ˜์š” ํ™•๋Œ€ chain ๋‚ด ์žฅ๋น„ ์ˆ˜์ฃผ ์‹ค๋ฌผ ํ™•์ธ

๊ธฐ๊ฐ€๋น„์Šค๊ฐ€ ์ผ๋ณธ ๋ฐ˜๋„์ฒด ๊ธฐํŒ ์ œ์กฐ์‚ฌ์™€ ๊ฒ€์‚ฌยท์ˆ˜๋ฆฌ์žฅ๋น„ 95์–ต ๊ทœ๋ชจ, 1๋…„ ๊ณ„์•ฝ ์ฒด๊ฒฐ. AI chip ์ˆ˜์š” ํญ์ฆ โ†’ ๊ธฐํŒ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ํ™•๋Œ€ โ†’ ๊ธฐํŒ ๊ฒ€์‚ฌ์žฅ๋น„ ์ˆ˜์š” ์—ฐ์‡„ ํ™•๋Œ€์˜ ์‹ค๋ฌผ ๊ณ„์•ฝ ํ™•์ธ. AI ๊ธฐํŒ(ABF substrate) chain ๋‚ด ์žฅ๋น„ ๊ธฐ์—… ์ˆ˜ํ˜œ ํฌ์ฐฉ.
๐Ÿ“Š 61/100 secular catalyst 3m
backlog
high
โš ๏ธ Falsifier (thesis ๋ฐ˜์ „ ์กฐ๊ฑด): [secular-evidence=1] | ๊ณ„์•ฝ ๊ทœ๋ชจ ๋Œ€๋น„ ๋งค์ถœ ์ธ์‹ ์ง€์—ฐ, ์ถ”๊ฐ€ ์ˆ˜์ฃผ ๋ถ€์žฌ, ๊ณ ๊ฐ์‚ฌ ๊ธฐํŒ ์ฆ์„ค ๊ณ„ํš ์ถ•์†Œ ์‹œ thesis ์•ฝํ™”.
๐Ÿ“‹ chain yaml snippet (vault์— ์ถ”๊ฐ€)
  - chain_id: mark-20260605-watch-yaml-0
    name: ๊ธฐ๊ฐ€๋น„์Šค ์ผ๋ณธ ๋ฐ˜๋„์ฒด ๊ธฐํŒ ์—…์ฒด์™€ 95์–ต ๊ทœ๋ชจ ๊ฒ€์‚ฌยท์ˆ˜๋ฆฌ์žฅ๋น„ ๊ณต๊ธ‰๊ณ„์•ฝ ์ฒด๊ฒฐ โ€” AI ๊ธฐํŒ ์ˆ˜์š” ํ™•๋Œ€ chain ๋‚ด ์žฅ๋น„ ์ˆ˜์ฃผ ์‹ค๋ฌผ ํ™•์ธ
    L0_trend: ๊ธฐ๊ฐ€๋น„์Šค๊ฐ€ ์ผ๋ณธ ๋ฐ˜๋„์ฒด ๊ธฐํŒ ์ œ์กฐ์‚ฌ์™€ ๊ฒ€์‚ฌยท์ˆ˜๋ฆฌ์žฅ๋น„ 95์–ต ๊ทœ๋ชจ, 1๋…„ ๊ณ„์•ฝ ์ฒด๊ฒฐ. AI chip ์ˆ˜์š” ํญ์ฆ โ†’ ๊ธฐํŒ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ํ™•๋Œ€ โ†’ ๊ธฐํŒ ๊ฒ€์‚ฌ์žฅ๋น„ ์ˆ˜์š” ์—ฐ์‡„ ํ™•๋Œ€์˜ ์‹ค๋ฌผ ๊ณ„์•ฝ ํ™•์ธ. AI ๊ธฐํŒ(ABF substrat
    L1_industry: TODO
    L2_bottleneck:
      - TODO
    L3_primary:
      KR:
        - {name: ๊ธฐ๊ฐ€๋น„์Šค, code: '420770'}
      Global: []
    L4_picks_shovels:
      KR: []
      Global: []
    L5_ecosystem:
      KR: []
      Global: []
    horizon: 1-3y
    confidence: low
    related_chains: []
    sources:
      - "2026-06-05 Claude marking (watch)"
    notes: |
      ๊ธฐ๊ฐ€๋น„์Šค๊ฐ€ ์ผ๋ณธ ๋ฐ˜๋„์ฒด ๊ธฐํŒ ์ œ์กฐ์‚ฌ์™€ ๊ฒ€์‚ฌยท์ˆ˜๋ฆฌ์žฅ๋น„ 95์–ต ๊ทœ๋ชจ, 1๋…„ ๊ณ„์•ฝ ์ฒด๊ฒฐ. AI chip ์ˆ˜์š” ํญ์ฆ โ†’ ๊ธฐํŒ ์ƒ์‚ฐ ํ™•๋Œ€ โ†’ ๊ธฐํŒ ๊ฒ€์‚ฌ์žฅ๋น„ ์ˆ˜์š” ์—ฐ์‡„ ํ™•๋Œ€์˜ ์‹ค๋ฌผ ๊ณ„์•ฝ ํ™•์ธ. AI ๊ธฐํŒ(ABF substrate) chain ๋‚ด ์žฅ๋น„ ๊ธฐ์—… ์ˆ˜ํ˜œ ํฌ์ฐฉ.
๐Ÿ“Œ Watch consumer

๋งˆ์นด์˜ค GGR 5์›” $28์–ต(+7% YoY) ๋‘ ์ž๋ฆฟ์ˆ˜ ์„ฑ์žฅ ์ง€์† + ๊ตญ๋‚ด ์™ธ์ธ ์นด์ง€๋…ธ 2Q ์‚ฌ์ƒ ์ตœ๋Œ€ ์‹ค์  ์˜ˆ์ƒ โ€” ๋กฏ๋ฐ๊ด€๊ด‘๊ฐœ๋ฐœยทํŒŒ๋ผ๋‹ค์ด์Šค ์ด์ต ๋ชจ๋ฉ˜ํ…€

๋งˆ์นด์˜ค GGR 5์›” $28์–ต(+7% YoY)ยท๋ˆ„์  $134์–ต(+11%). ๊ตญ๋‚ด ์™ธ์ธ ์นด์ง€๋…ธ 2Q ์‚ฌ์ƒ ์ตœ๋Œ€ ์‹ค์ ยท์–ด๋‹ ์„œํ”„๋ผ์ด์ฆˆ ์˜ˆ์ƒ. ํ•œ์ผ๋ น ์ˆ˜ํ˜œ + ๊ณ ์œ ๊ฐ€็™ผ ๋‹จ๊ฑฐ๋ฆฌ ๋…ธ์„  ํ™•๋Œ€ ๋ถ€์‚ฐ ์นด์ง€๋…ธ ์ˆ˜ํ˜œ. ๋กฏ๋ฐ๊ด€๊ด‘๊ฐœ๋ฐœ(๋กค๋ง ๊ฒฝ์Ÿ๋ ฅ ๊ฐ•ํ™”)ยทํŒŒ๋ผ๋‹ค์ด์Šค(์‹ ๊ทœ ํ˜ธํ…” ๋žจํ”„์—…) ํ•˜๋ฐ˜๊ธฐ ์ตœ๋Œ€ ์‹ค์  ์ „๋ง. ์นด์ง€๋…ธ ์ธ๋ฑ์Šค ๊ธ‰๋ฝ์€ ๊ฐœ๋ณ„์‚ฌ ์ด์Šˆ๋กœ ์—…ํ™ฉ๊ณผ ๋ฌด๊ด€.
๐Ÿ“Š 64/100 cyclical catalyst 1m
โš ๏ธ Falsifier (thesis ๋ฐ˜์ „ ์กฐ๊ฑด): ์ค‘๊ตญ ๊ด€๊ด‘๊ฐ ์žฌ๊ฐ์†Œ, ํ™˜์œจ ๊ธ‰๋ณ€, ํ•œ์ผ๋ น ํ•ด์ œ, GGR ์„ฑ์žฅ๋ฅ  ์žฌํ•˜๋ฝ ์‹œ thesis ๋ฐ˜์ „.
๐Ÿ“‹ chain yaml snippet (vault์— ์ถ”๊ฐ€)
  - chain_id: mark-20260605-watch-yaml-1
    name: ๋งˆ์นด์˜ค GGR 5์›” $28์–ต(+7% YoY) ๋‘ ์ž๋ฆฟ์ˆ˜ ์„ฑ์žฅ ์ง€์† + ๊ตญ๋‚ด ์™ธ์ธ ์นด์ง€๋…ธ 2Q ์‚ฌ์ƒ ์ตœ๋Œ€ ์‹ค์  ์˜ˆ์ƒ โ€” ๋กฏ๋ฐ๊ด€๊ด‘๊ฐœ๋ฐœยทํŒŒ๋ผ๋‹ค์ด์Šค ์ด์ต ๋ชจ๋ฉ˜ํ…€
    L0_trend: ๋งˆ์นด์˜ค GGR 5์›” $28์–ต(+7% YoY)ยท๋ˆ„์  $134์–ต(+11%). ๊ตญ๋‚ด ์™ธ์ธ ์นด์ง€๋…ธ 2Q ์‚ฌ์ƒ ์ตœ๋Œ€ ์‹ค์ ยท์–ด๋‹ ์„œํ”„๋ผ์ด์ฆˆ ์˜ˆ์ƒ. ํ•œ์ผ๋ น ์ˆ˜ํ˜œ + ๊ณ ์œ ๊ฐ€็™ผ ๋‹จ๊ฑฐ๋ฆฌ ๋…ธ์„  ํ™•๋Œ€ ๋ถ€์‚ฐ ์นด์ง€๋…ธ ์ˆ˜ํ˜œ. ๋กฏ๋ฐ๊ด€๊ด‘๊ฐœ๋ฐœ(๋กค๋ง
    L1_industry: TODO
    L2_bottleneck:
      - TODO
    L3_primary:
      KR:
        - {name: ํŒŒ๋ผ๋‹ค์ด์Šค, code: '034230'}
        - {name: ๋กฏ๋ฐ๊ด€๊ด‘๊ฐœ๋ฐœ, code: '032350'}
      Global: []
    L4_picks_shovels:
      KR: []
      Global: []
    L5_ecosystem:
      KR: []
      Global: []
    horizon: 1-3y
    confidence: low
    related_chains: []
    sources:
      - "2026-06-05 Claude marking (watch)"
    notes: |
      ๋งˆ์นด์˜ค GGR 5์›” $28์–ต(+7% YoY)ยท๋ˆ„์  $134์–ต(+11%). ๊ตญ๋‚ด ์™ธ์ธ ์นด์ง€๋…ธ 2Q ์‚ฌ์ƒ ์ตœ๋Œ€ ์‹ค์ ยท์–ด๋‹ ์„œํ”„๋ผ์ด์ฆˆ ์˜ˆ์ƒ. ํ•œ์ผ๋ น ์ˆ˜ํ˜œ + ๊ณ ์œ ๊ฐ€็™ผ ๋‹จ๊ฑฐ๋ฆฌ ๋…ธ์„  ํ™•๋Œ€ ๋ถ€์‚ฐ ์นด์ง€๋…ธ ์ˆ˜ํ˜œ. ๋กฏ๋ฐ๊ด€๊ด‘๊ฐœ๋ฐœ(๋กค๋ง ๊ฒฝ์Ÿ๋ ฅ ๊ฐ•ํ™”)ยทํŒŒ๋ผ๋‹ค์ด์Šค(์‹ ๊ทœ ํ˜ธํ…” ๋žจํ”„์—…) ํ•˜๋ฐ˜๊ธฐ ์ตœ๋Œ€ ์‹ค์  ์ „๋ง. ์นด์ง€๋…ธ ์ธ๋ฑ์Šค ๊ธ‰๋ฝ์€ ๊ฐœ๋ณ„์‚ฌ ์ด์Šˆ๋กœ ์—…ํ™ฉ๊ณผ ๋ฌด๊ด€.
๐Ÿ“Œ Watch ai-substrate semiconductor

TSMC 2026๋…„ capex $520์–ต~$560์–ต ์œ ์ง€ + High-NA EUV ์—ฐ๊ตฌ๊ฐœ๋ฐœ ํˆฌ์ž ํ™•์ • โ€” AI ๋ฐ˜๋„์ฒด ์ฒจ๋‹จ ๊ณต์ • ์ˆ˜์š” ๊ตฌ์กฐ์  ํ™•์ธ

TSMC๊ฐ€ 2026๋…„ ์ž๋ณธ ์ง€์ถœ $520์–ต~$560์–ต ์ „๋ง์„ ์œ ์ง€ํ•˜๋ฉฐ ์„ฑ์žฅ ๊ธฐ์กฐ ํ™•์ธ. High-NA EUV๋Š” A14 ์–‘์‚ฐ์— ๋ฏธ์ ์šฉ(๋น„์šฉ ์ด์Šˆ)ํ•˜๋‚˜ ์—ฐ๊ตฌ๊ฐœ๋ฐœ ๋ชฉ์  ๊ตฌ๋งค ํ™•์ •. ์ธํ…”์€ 14A ๊ณต์ •๋ถ€ํ„ฐ ๋„์ž… ๊ณ„ํš. ํ•˜์ดํผ์Šค์ผ€์ผ๋Ÿฌ CAPEX 1์กฐ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ ๋ŒํŒŒ ์ „๋ง(์ •ํ›ˆ๋‹˜ ๊ด€์‹ฌ๋“ฑ๋ก)๊ณผ ์—ฐ๊ฒฐ๋˜๋Š” ๊ตฌ์กฐ์  ์ˆ˜์š” ํ™•์ธ.
๐Ÿ“Š 63/100 secular catalyst 6m quality high
backlog
high
โš ๏ธ Falsifier (thesis ๋ฐ˜์ „ ์กฐ๊ฑด): [secular-evidence=1] | TSMC capex ๊ณ„ํš ํ•˜ํ–ฅ ์กฐ์ •, AI ๋ฐ˜๋„์ฒด ์„ ๋‹จ ๊ณต์ • ์ˆ˜์š” ๋‘”ํ™”, ๊ณ ๊ฐ์‚ฌ ์ฃผ๋ฌธ ์ทจ์†Œ ์‹œ thesis ๋ฐ˜์ „.
๐Ÿ“‹ chain yaml snippet (vault์— ์ถ”๊ฐ€)
  - chain_id: mark-20260605-watch-yaml-2
    name: TSMC 2026๋…„ capex $520์–ต~$560์–ต ์œ ์ง€ + High-NA EUV ์—ฐ๊ตฌ๊ฐœ๋ฐœ ํˆฌ์ž ํ™•์ • โ€” AI ๋ฐ˜๋„์ฒด ์ฒจ๋‹จ ๊ณต์ • ์ˆ˜์š” ๊ตฌ์กฐ์  ํ™•์ธ
    L0_trend: TSMC๊ฐ€ 2026๋…„ ์ž๋ณธ ์ง€์ถœ $520์–ต~$560์–ต ์ „๋ง์„ ์œ ์ง€ํ•˜๋ฉฐ ์„ฑ์žฅ ๊ธฐ์กฐ ํ™•์ธ. High-NA EUV๋Š” A14 ์–‘์‚ฐ์— ๋ฏธ์ ์šฉ(๋น„์šฉ ์ด์Šˆ)ํ•˜๋‚˜ ์—ฐ๊ตฌ๊ฐœ๋ฐœ ๋ชฉ์  ๊ตฌ๋งค ํ™•์ •. ์ธํ…”์€ 14A ๊ณต์ •๋ถ€ํ„ฐ ๋„์ž… ๊ณ„ํš. ํ•˜์ด
    L1_industry: TODO
    L2_bottleneck:
      - TODO
    L3_primary:
      KR:
        - {name: SKํ•˜์ด๋‹‰์Šค, code: '000660'}
        - {name: ์‚ผ์„ฑ์ „์ž, code: '005930'}
      Global: []
    L4_picks_shovels:
      KR: []
      Global: []
    L5_ecosystem:
      KR: []
      Global: []
    horizon: 1-3y
    confidence: low
    related_chains: []
    sources:
      - "2026-06-05 Claude marking (watch)"
    notes: |
      TSMC๊ฐ€ 2026๋…„ ์ž๋ณธ ์ง€์ถœ $520์–ต~$560์–ต ์ „๋ง์„ ์œ ์ง€ํ•˜๋ฉฐ ์„ฑ์žฅ ๊ธฐ์กฐ ํ™•์ธ. High-NA EUV๋Š” A14 ์–‘์‚ฐ์— ๋ฏธ์ ์šฉ(๋น„์šฉ ์ด์Šˆ)ํ•˜๋‚˜ ์—ฐ๊ตฌ๊ฐœ๋ฐœ ๋ชฉ์  ๊ตฌ๋งค ํ™•์ •. ์ธํ…”์€ 14A ๊ณต์ •๋ถ€ํ„ฐ ๋„์ž… ๊ณ„ํš. ํ•˜์ดํผ์Šค์ผ€์ผ๋Ÿฌ CAPEX 1์กฐ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ ๋ŒํŒŒ ์ „๋ง(์ •ํ›ˆ๋‹˜ ๊ด€์‹ฌ๋“ฑ๋ก)๊ณผ ์—ฐ๊ฒฐ๋˜๋Š” ๊ตฌ์กฐ์  ์ˆ˜์š” ํ™•์ธ.
๐Ÿ“Œ Watch materials

LGํ™”ํ•™ ๋ชฉํ‘œ์ฃผ๊ฐ€ 430,000โ†’470,000์› ์ƒํ–ฅ โ€” ESSยท46์‹œ๋ฆฌ์ฆˆ ์ˆ˜์ฃผ ์ฆ๊ฐ€ + 2Q26 ์˜์—…์ด์ต ์ปจ์„ผ +97% ๊ธฐ๋Œ€

KB์ฆ๊ถŒ LGํ™”ํ•™ ๋ชฉํ‘œ์ฃผ๊ฐ€ ์ƒํ–ฅ. ESSยท46์‹œ๋ฆฌ์ฆˆ ์ˆ˜์ฃผ ์ฆ๊ฐ€๋กœ LG์—๋„ˆ์ง€์†”๋ฃจ์…˜ ์‹ค์  ๊ฐœ์„ . 2Q26 ์˜์—…์ด์ต ์ปจ์„ผ ๋Œ€๋น„ +97% ๊ธฐ๋Œ€. ๊ธ€๋กœ๋ฒŒ ์„์œ ํ™”ํ•™ ๊ณต๊ธ‰ ์ถ•์†Œ๋กœ ์„์œ ํ™”ํ•™ ์‹œํ™ฉ ๊ฐœ์„  ์ง„ํ–‰. 2026/27๋…„ EPS ์ถ”์ •์น˜ ์ƒํ–ฅ. ๋‹ค๊ฐํ™” ์‚ฌ์—… ํฌํŠธํด๋ฆฌ์˜ค์—์„œ ๋ฐฐํ„ฐ๋ฆฌ ์ค‘์‹ฌ ํšŒ๋ณต ๊ฐ€์‹œํ™”.
๐Ÿ“Š 66/100 cyclical catalyst 1m
์ปจ์„ผ revision
+15.0%
๋ชฉํ‘œ๊ฐ€ ฮ”
+9.3%
โš ๏ธ Falsifier (thesis ๋ฐ˜์ „ ์กฐ๊ฑด): 2Q26 ์˜์—…์ด์ต ์ปจ์„ผ ๋Œ€๋น„ ์‹ค์  ํ•˜ํšŒ, EV ์ˆ˜์š” ์žฌ๋‘”ํ™”, ์„์œ ํ™”ํ•™ ๊ณต๊ธ‰ ๊ณผ์ž‰ ์ง€์† ์‹œ thesis ๋ฐ˜์ „.
๐Ÿ“‹ chain yaml snippet (vault์— ์ถ”๊ฐ€)
  - chain_id: mark-20260605-watch-yaml-3
    name: LGํ™”ํ•™ ๋ชฉํ‘œ์ฃผ๊ฐ€ 430,000โ†’470,000์› ์ƒํ–ฅ โ€” ESSยท46์‹œ๋ฆฌ์ฆˆ ์ˆ˜์ฃผ ์ฆ๊ฐ€ + 2Q26 ์˜์—…์ด์ต ์ปจ์„ผ +97% ๊ธฐ๋Œ€
    L0_trend: KB์ฆ๊ถŒ LGํ™”ํ•™ ๋ชฉํ‘œ์ฃผ๊ฐ€ ์ƒํ–ฅ. ESSยท46์‹œ๋ฆฌ์ฆˆ ์ˆ˜์ฃผ ์ฆ๊ฐ€๋กœ LG์—๋„ˆ์ง€์†”๋ฃจ์…˜ ์‹ค์  ๊ฐœ์„ . 2Q26 ์˜์—…์ด์ต ์ปจ์„ผ ๋Œ€๋น„ +97% ๊ธฐ๋Œ€. ๊ธ€๋กœ๋ฒŒ ์„์œ ํ™”ํ•™ ๊ณต๊ธ‰ ์ถ•์†Œ๋กœ ์„์œ ํ™”ํ•™ ์‹œํ™ฉ ๊ฐœ์„  ์ง„ํ–‰. 2026/27๋…„ EPS
    L1_industry: TODO
    L2_bottleneck:
      - TODO
    L3_primary:
      KR:
        - {name: LGํ™”ํ•™, code: '051910'}
      Global: []
    L4_picks_shovels:
      KR: []
      Global: []
    L5_ecosystem:
      KR: []
      Global: []
    horizon: 1-3y
    confidence: low
    related_chains: []
    sources:
      - "2026-06-05 Claude marking (watch)"
    notes: |
      KB์ฆ๊ถŒ LGํ™”ํ•™ ๋ชฉํ‘œ์ฃผ๊ฐ€ ์ƒํ–ฅ. ESSยท46์‹œ๋ฆฌ์ฆˆ ์ˆ˜์ฃผ ์ฆ๊ฐ€๋กœ LG์—๋„ˆ์ง€์†”๋ฃจ์…˜ ์‹ค์  ๊ฐœ์„ . 2Q26 ์˜์—…์ด์ต ์ปจ์„ผ ๋Œ€๋น„ +97% ๊ธฐ๋Œ€. ๊ธ€๋กœ๋ฒŒ ์„์œ ํ™”ํ•™ ๊ณต๊ธ‰ ์ถ•์†Œ๋กœ ์„์œ ํ™”ํ•™ ์‹œํ™ฉ ๊ฐœ์„  ์ง„ํ–‰. 2026/27๋…„ EPS ์ถ”์ •์น˜ ์ƒํ–ฅ. ๋‹ค๊ฐํ™” ์‚ฌ์—… ํฌํŠธํด๋ฆฌ์˜ค์—์„œ ๋ฐฐํ„ฐ๋ฆฌ ์ค‘์‹ฌ ํšŒ๋ณต ๊ฐ€์‹œํ™”.
๐Ÿ“Œ Watch ai-substrate semiconductor

๊ตญ๋‚ด ETF ์ˆœ์ž์‚ฐ 500์กฐ ๋ŒํŒŒ + ๊ฐœ์ธ ์‹ ์šฉ์ž”๊ณ  38์กฐ ์ตœ๊ณ  โ€” ๋ฐ˜๋„์ฒด ๋Œ€ํ˜•์ฃผ ํŒจ์‹œ๋ธŒ ์ˆ˜๊ธ‰ ๊ตฌ์กฐ ๊ฐ•ํ™”

๊ตญ๋‚ด ETF ์ˆœ์ž์‚ฐ์ด 2025๋…„ 6์›” 200์กฐ์—์„œ 2026๋…„ 5์›” 500์กฐ๋กœ ํญ๋ฐœ์  ์„ฑ์žฅ. ์‹œ์ด๊ฐ€์ค‘ยท๋ฐ˜๋„์ฒด ๋Œ€ํ˜•์ฃผ ETF๋กœ ์ž๊ธˆ ์ง‘์ค‘ ๊ตฌ์กฐ. ๊ฐœ์ธ ์‹ ์šฉ์ž”๊ณ  38์กฐ ์ตœ๊ณ ์น˜ ๋ŒํŒŒ. ์‚ผ์„ฑ์ „์žยทSKํ•˜์ด๋‹‰์Šค ํŒจ์‹œ๋ธŒ ์ˆ˜๊ธ‰ ๊ตฌ์กฐ์  ๊ฐ•ํ™” ํ™•์ธ. ์™ธ๊ตญ์ธ -73์กฐ ์ˆœ๋งค๋„๋ฅผ ๊ฐœ์ธยท๊ธˆ์œตํˆฌ์ž๊ฐ€ ํก์ˆ˜ํ•˜๋ฉฐ ๋Œ€ํ˜•์ฃผ ์ˆ˜๊ธ‰ ์ง€ํƒฑ.
๐Ÿ“Š 62/100 secular catalyst 3m
backlog
high
โš ๏ธ Falsifier (thesis ๋ฐ˜์ „ ์กฐ๊ฑด): [secular-evidence=1] | ๊ฐœ์ธ ์‹ ์šฉ์ž”๊ณ  ๊ธ‰๊ฒฉํ•œ ๋””๋ ˆ๋ฒ„๋ฆฌ์ง•, ETF ๋Œ€๊ทœ๋ชจ ํ™˜๋งค, ์™ธ๊ตญ์ธ ์ถ”๊ฐ€ ๋งค๋„ ๊ฐ•ํ™” ์‹œ ์ˆ˜๊ธ‰ thesis ๋ฐ˜์ „.
๐Ÿ“‹ chain yaml snippet (vault์— ์ถ”๊ฐ€)
  - chain_id: mark-20260605-watch-yaml-4
    name: ๊ตญ๋‚ด ETF ์ˆœ์ž์‚ฐ 500์กฐ ๋ŒํŒŒ + ๊ฐœ์ธ ์‹ ์šฉ์ž”๊ณ  38์กฐ ์ตœ๊ณ  โ€” ๋ฐ˜๋„์ฒด ๋Œ€ํ˜•์ฃผ ํŒจ์‹œ๋ธŒ ์ˆ˜๊ธ‰ ๊ตฌ์กฐ ๊ฐ•ํ™”
    L0_trend: ๊ตญ๋‚ด ETF ์ˆœ์ž์‚ฐ์ด 2025๋…„ 6์›” 200์กฐ์—์„œ 2026๋…„ 5์›” 500์กฐ๋กœ ํญ๋ฐœ์  ์„ฑ์žฅ. ์‹œ์ด๊ฐ€์ค‘ยท๋ฐ˜๋„์ฒด ๋Œ€ํ˜•์ฃผ ETF๋กœ ์ž๊ธˆ ์ง‘์ค‘ ๊ตฌ์กฐ. ๊ฐœ์ธ ์‹ ์šฉ์ž”๊ณ  38์กฐ ์ตœ๊ณ ์น˜ ๋ŒํŒŒ. ์‚ผ์„ฑ์ „์žยทSKํ•˜์ด๋‹‰์Šค ํŒจ์‹œ๋ธŒ ์ˆ˜๊ธ‰ ๊ตฌ์กฐ
    L1_industry: TODO
    L2_bottleneck:
      - TODO
    L3_primary:
      KR:
        - {name: ์‚ผ์„ฑ์ „์ž, code: '005930'}
        - {name: SKํ•˜์ด๋‹‰์Šค, code: '000660'}
      Global: []
    L4_picks_shovels:
      KR: []
      Global: []
    L5_ecosystem:
      KR: []
      Global: []
    horizon: 1-3y
    confidence: low
    related_chains: []
    sources:
      - "2026-06-05 Claude marking (watch)"
    notes: |
      ๊ตญ๋‚ด ETF ์ˆœ์ž์‚ฐ์ด 2025๋…„ 6์›” 200์กฐ์—์„œ 2026๋…„ 5์›” 500์กฐ๋กœ ํญ๋ฐœ์  ์„ฑ์žฅ. ์‹œ์ด๊ฐ€์ค‘ยท๋ฐ˜๋„์ฒด ๋Œ€ํ˜•์ฃผ ETF๋กœ ์ž๊ธˆ ์ง‘์ค‘ ๊ตฌ์กฐ. ๊ฐœ์ธ ์‹ ์šฉ์ž”๊ณ  38์กฐ ์ตœ๊ณ ์น˜ ๋ŒํŒŒ. ์‚ผ์„ฑ์ „์žยทSKํ•˜์ด๋‹‰์Šค ํŒจ์‹œ๋ธŒ ์ˆ˜๊ธ‰ ๊ตฌ์กฐ์  ๊ฐ•ํ™” ํ™•์ธ. ์™ธ๊ตญ์ธ -73์กฐ ์ˆœ๋งค๋„๋ฅผ ๊ฐœ์ธยท๊ธˆ์œตํˆฌ์ž๊ฐ€ ํก์ˆ˜ํ•˜๋ฉฐ ๋Œ€ํ˜•์ฃผ ์ˆ˜๊ธ‰ ์ง€ํƒฑ.
๐Ÿ“Œ Watch consumer

ํ™”์žฅํ’ˆ ์ˆ˜์ถœ 5์›” YoY +24% ๊ณ ์‹ ์žฅ โ€” ๋ฏธ๊ตญ +32%ยท์œ ๋Ÿฝ +70% ์ฃผ๋„, ์‹ค๋ฆฌ์ฝ˜ํˆฌ ์ค‘์‹ฌ K-๋ทฐํ‹ฐ ๊ธ€๋กœ๋ฒŒ ๋‹ค๋ณ€ํ™” ๊ฐ€์†

5์›” ํ™”์žฅํ’ˆ ์ˆ˜์ถœ YoY +24% ๊ณ ์‹ ์žฅ. ๋ฏธ๊ตญ +32%, ์œ ๋Ÿฝ 9๊ฐœ๊ตญ +70%, ํด๋ž€๋“œ ์›” ์ˆ˜์ถœ ์ฒซ $5์ฒœ๋งŒ ๋ŒํŒŒ(+132%). ์‹ค๋ฆฌ์ฝ˜ํˆฌ์˜ ์œ ๋Ÿฝ ๊ณต๋žต ํšจ๊ณผ ์ˆ˜์น˜ ํ™•์ธ. ์ค‘๊ตญ ์ˆ˜์ถœ YoY +2% ์ „ํ™˜(๊ธฐ์ € ๊ฐœ์„ ). ์ผ๋ณธ -15% ๋ถ€์ง„์€ ์•„์ดํŒจ๋ฐ€๋ฆฌ์—์Šค์”จยทํด๋ฆฌ์˜ค ๋ณด์ˆ˜์  ์ ‘๊ทผ ๊ถŒ๊ณ . ์ด์ต ๋ชจ๋ฉ˜ํ…€ ํ™•์‹คํ•œ ์ข…๋ชฉ ์„ ๋ณ„ ํ•„์š”.
๐Ÿ“Š 65/100 secular catalyst 3m
โš ๏ธ Falsifier (thesis ๋ฐ˜์ „ ์กฐ๊ฑด): [secular-evidence=1] | ๋ฏธ๊ตญยท์œ ๋Ÿฝ ์ˆ˜์ถœ MoM ๊บพ์ž„, ์‹ค๋ฆฌ์ฝ˜ํˆฌ ๋ฌผ๋ฅ˜๋น„ยท๋งˆ์ง„ ์••๋ฐ• ํ™•๋Œ€, ์ฑ„๋„ ์žฌ๊ณ  ๋ˆ„์  ์‹œ thesis ๋ฐ˜์ „.
๐Ÿ“‹ chain yaml snippet (vault์— ์ถ”๊ฐ€)
  - chain_id: mark-20260605-watch-yaml-5
    name: ํ™”์žฅํ’ˆ ์ˆ˜์ถœ 5์›” YoY +24% ๊ณ ์‹ ์žฅ โ€” ๋ฏธ๊ตญ +32%ยท์œ ๋Ÿฝ +70% ์ฃผ๋„, ์‹ค๋ฆฌ์ฝ˜ํˆฌ ์ค‘์‹ฌ K-๋ทฐํ‹ฐ ๊ธ€๋กœ๋ฒŒ ๋‹ค๋ณ€ํ™” ๊ฐ€์†
    L0_trend: 5์›” ํ™”์žฅํ’ˆ ์ˆ˜์ถœ YoY +24% ๊ณ ์‹ ์žฅ. ๋ฏธ๊ตญ +32%, ์œ ๋Ÿฝ 9๊ฐœ๊ตญ +70%, ํด๋ž€๋“œ ์›” ์ˆ˜์ถœ ์ฒซ $5์ฒœ๋งŒ ๋ŒํŒŒ(+132%). ์‹ค๋ฆฌ์ฝ˜ํˆฌ์˜ ์œ ๋Ÿฝ ๊ณต๋žต ํšจ๊ณผ ์ˆ˜์น˜ ํ™•์ธ. ์ค‘๊ตญ ์ˆ˜์ถœ YoY +2% ์ „ํ™˜(๊ธฐ์ € ๊ฐœ์„ ). 
    L1_industry: TODO
    L2_bottleneck:
      - TODO
    L3_primary:
      KR:
        - {name: ์‹ค๋ฆฌ์ฝ˜ํˆฌ, code: '257540'}
      Global: []
    L4_picks_shovels:
      KR: []
      Global: []
    L5_ecosystem:
      KR: []
      Global: []
    horizon: 1-3y
    confidence: low
    related_chains: []
    sources:
      - "2026-06-05 Claude marking (watch)"
    notes: |
      5์›” ํ™”์žฅํ’ˆ ์ˆ˜์ถœ YoY +24% ๊ณ ์‹ ์žฅ. ๋ฏธ๊ตญ +32%, ์œ ๋Ÿฝ 9๊ฐœ๊ตญ +70%, ํด๋ž€๋“œ ์›” ์ˆ˜์ถœ ์ฒซ $5์ฒœ๋งŒ ๋ŒํŒŒ(+132%). ์‹ค๋ฆฌ์ฝ˜ํˆฌ์˜ ์œ ๋Ÿฝ ๊ณต๋žต ํšจ๊ณผ ์ˆ˜์น˜ ํ™•์ธ. ์ค‘๊ตญ ์ˆ˜์ถœ YoY +2% ์ „ํ™˜(๊ธฐ์ € ๊ฐœ์„ ). ์ผ๋ณธ -15% ๋ถ€์ง„์€ ์•„์ดํŒจ๋ฐ€๋ฆฌ์—์Šค์”จยทํด๋ฆฌ์˜ค ๋ณด์ˆ˜์  ์ ‘๊ทผ ๊ถŒ๊ณ . ์ด์ต ๋ชจ๋ฉ˜ํ…€ ํ™•์‹คํ•œ ์ข…๋ชฉ ์„ ๋ณ„ ํ•„์š”.
๐Ÿ“Œ Watch cpo-photonics telecom

AUOยทBOE CPO ๊ด‘ํ†ต์‹  ์ง„์ถœ โ€” ํŒจ๋„ ์—…์ฒด์˜ CPO ํ†ตํ•ฉ ์‚ฌ์—…์ž ์ „ํ™˜ ์‹œ๋„, ์‚ผ์„ฑ์ „๊ธฐ ๊ด‘ํ†ต์‹  ๋ถ€ํ’ˆ chain ์ฃผ๋ชฉ

AUO(์ฃผ๊ฐ€ +128.2%)ยทBOE๊ฐ€ AI ํŒจํ‚ค์ง•ยท๊ด‘ํ†ต์‹  ์ง„์ถœ ์„ ์–ธ. BOE๋Š” Corning๊ณผ ์œ ๋ฆฌ๊ธฐํŒยท๊ด‘ํ†ต์‹ ยทํŽ˜๋กœ๋ธŒ์Šค์นด์ดํŠธ 3๊ฐœ MOU ์ฒด๊ฒฐ. AUO๋Š” Micro LED + ๊ด‘ํ†ต์‹  ๋ชจ๋“ˆ ์ˆ˜์ง๊ณ„์—ดํ™” ์ถ”์ง„. ์ „ํ†ต ํŒจ๋„ ์—…์ฒด๊ฐ€ CPO ํ†ตํ•ฉ ์‚ฌ์—…์ž๋กœ ์ „ํ™˜ ์‹œ๋„ โ€” ๊ตญ๋‚ด ๊ด‘ํ†ต์‹ ยทCPO chain(์‚ผ์„ฑ์ „๊ธฐ ๋“ฑ) ๊ฒฝ์Ÿ ๊ตฌ๋„ ๋ณ€ํ™” ๊ฐ€๋Šฅ์„ฑ ๋ชจ๋‹ˆํ„ฐ๋ง ํ•„์š”.
๐Ÿ“Š 60/100 secular catalyst 6m
๋ชฉํ‘œ๊ฐ€ ฮ”
+10.5%
โš ๏ธ Falsifier (thesis ๋ฐ˜์ „ ์กฐ๊ฑด): [secular-evidence=2] | BOEยทAUO์˜ ๊ด‘ํ†ต์‹  ์‚ฌ์—… ๊ตฌ์ฒด์  ๋งค์ถœ ๋ฏธ๋ฐœ์ƒ, CPO ์ˆ˜์ฃผ ๊ณ„์•ฝ ๋ถ€์žฌ ์‹œ thesis ์•ฝํ™”. ์‚ผ์„ฑ์ „๊ธฐ์˜ ๊ธฐ์กด ๊ด‘ํ†ต์‹  ์‚ฌ์—…๋ถ€ ์‹ค์  ํ™•์ธ ํ•„์š”.
๐Ÿ“‹ chain yaml snippet (vault์— ์ถ”๊ฐ€)
  - chain_id: mark-20260605-watch-yaml-6
    name: AUOยทBOE CPO ๊ด‘ํ†ต์‹  ์ง„์ถœ โ€” ํŒจ๋„ ์—…์ฒด์˜ CPO ํ†ตํ•ฉ ์‚ฌ์—…์ž ์ „ํ™˜ ์‹œ๋„, ์‚ผ์„ฑ์ „๊ธฐ ๊ด‘ํ†ต์‹  ๋ถ€ํ’ˆ chain ์ฃผ๋ชฉ
    L0_trend: AUO(์ฃผ๊ฐ€ +128.2%)ยทBOE๊ฐ€ AI ํŒจํ‚ค์ง•ยท๊ด‘ํ†ต์‹  ์ง„์ถœ ์„ ์–ธ. BOE๋Š” Corning๊ณผ ์œ ๋ฆฌ๊ธฐํŒยท๊ด‘ํ†ต์‹ ยทํŽ˜๋กœ๋ธŒ์Šค์นด์ดํŠธ 3๊ฐœ MOU ์ฒด๊ฒฐ. AUO๋Š” Micro LED + ๊ด‘ํ†ต์‹  ๋ชจ๋“ˆ ์ˆ˜์ง๊ณ„์—ดํ™” ์ถ”์ง„. ์ „ํ†ต ํŒจ๋„
    L1_industry: TODO
    L2_bottleneck:
      - TODO
    L3_primary:
      KR:
        - {name: ์‚ผ์„ฑ์ „๊ธฐ, code: '009150'}
      Global: []
    L4_picks_shovels:
      KR: []
      Global: []
    L5_ecosystem:
      KR: []
      Global: []
    horizon: 1-3y
    confidence: low
    related_chains: []
    sources:
      - "2026-06-05 Claude marking (watch)"
    notes: |
      AUO(์ฃผ๊ฐ€ +128.2%)ยทBOE๊ฐ€ AI ํŒจํ‚ค์ง•ยท๊ด‘ํ†ต์‹  ์ง„์ถœ ์„ ์–ธ. BOE๋Š” Corning๊ณผ ์œ ๋ฆฌ๊ธฐํŒยท๊ด‘ํ†ต์‹ ยทํŽ˜๋กœ๋ธŒ์Šค์นด์ดํŠธ 3๊ฐœ MOU ์ฒด๊ฒฐ. AUO๋Š” Micro LED + ๊ด‘ํ†ต์‹  ๋ชจ๋“ˆ ์ˆ˜์ง๊ณ„์—ดํ™” ์ถ”์ง„. ์ „ํ†ต ํŒจ๋„ ์—…์ฒด๊ฐ€ CPO ํ†ตํ•ฉ ์‚ฌ์—…์ž๋กœ ์ „ํ™˜ ์‹œ๋„ โ€” ๊ตญ๋‚ด ๊ด‘ํ†ต์‹ ยทCPO chain(์‚ผ์„ฑ์ „๊ธฐ ๋“ฑ) ๊ฒฝ์Ÿ ๊ตฌ๋„ ๋ณ€ํ™” ๊ฐ€๋Šฅ์„ฑ ๋ชจ๋‹ˆํ„ฐ๋ง ํ•„์š”.
๐Ÿ“Œ Watch biopharma-cmo bio

ํ•œ๋ฏธ์•ฝํ’ˆ ๋ชฉํ‘œ์ฃผ๊ฐ€ +11.3% ์ƒํ–ฅ(690,000์›) + 2026๋…„ ๊ธฐ์ˆ ์ด์ „ 1๊ฑด ์ด์ƒ ๊ฐ€์ด๋˜์Šค โ€” GLP-1 ์‚ผ์ค‘์ž‘์šฉ์ œยท๋น„๋งŒ pipeline ์ƒ์—…ํ™” ๋ชจ๋ฉ˜ํ…€

ํ•œ๋ฏธ์•ฝํ’ˆ ๋ชฉํ‘œ์ฃผ๊ฐ€ 690,000์›์œผ๋กœ ์ƒํ–ฅ. ์†Œ๋„คํŽ˜๊ธ€๋ฃจํƒ€์ด๋“œ ๋‹จ์žฅ์ฆํ›„๊ตฐ ํ—ˆ๊ฐ€(2033๋…„ ๊ฐ€์ •) DCF + EBITDA ๋ณตํ•ฉ ๋ฐธ๋ฅ˜์—์ด์…˜. 2026๋…„ ์—ฐ๋‚ด ๊ธฐ์ˆ ์ด์ „ 1๊ฑด ์ด์ƒ ๊ฐ€์ด๋˜์Šค(HM15275 ์‚ผ์ค‘์ž‘์šฉ์ œยท๋น„๋งŒ ๋“ฑ ํฌํ•จ). GLP-1 ์‹  modality ๊ตฌ์กฐ์  ์ˆ˜์š” chain ๋‚ด ๊ตญ๋‚ด pipeline ๊ฐ€์‹œํ™”.
๐Ÿ“Š 65/100 secular catalyst 6m
์ปจ์„ผ revision
+8.0%
๋ชฉํ‘œ๊ฐ€ ฮ”
+11.3%
โš ๏ธ Falsifier (thesis ๋ฐ˜์ „ ์กฐ๊ฑด): [secular-evidence=3] | 2026๋…„ ๊ธฐ์ˆ ์ด์ „ ๋ฏธ์ฒด๊ฒฐ, HM15275 ์ž„์ƒ ์‹คํŒจ, ๋‹จ์žฅ์ฆํ›„๊ตฐ ํ—ˆ๊ฐ€ ์‹œ์  ์ง€์—ฐ ์‹œ DCF ๊ฐ€์น˜ ๊ธ‰๋ฝ.
๐Ÿ“‹ chain yaml snippet (vault์— ์ถ”๊ฐ€)
  - chain_id: mark-20260605-watch-yaml-7
    name: ํ•œ๋ฏธ์•ฝํ’ˆ ๋ชฉํ‘œ์ฃผ๊ฐ€ +11.3% ์ƒํ–ฅ(690,000์›) + 2026๋…„ ๊ธฐ์ˆ ์ด์ „ 1๊ฑด ์ด์ƒ ๊ฐ€์ด๋˜์Šค โ€” GLP-1 ์‚ผ์ค‘์ž‘์šฉ์ œยท๋น„๋งŒ pipeline ์ƒ์—…ํ™” ๋ชจ๋ฉ˜ํ…€
    L0_trend: ํ•œ๋ฏธ์•ฝํ’ˆ ๋ชฉํ‘œ์ฃผ๊ฐ€ 690,000์›์œผ๋กœ ์ƒํ–ฅ. ์†Œ๋„คํŽ˜๊ธ€๋ฃจํƒ€์ด๋“œ ๋‹จ์žฅ์ฆํ›„๊ตฐ ํ—ˆ๊ฐ€(2033๋…„ ๊ฐ€์ •) DCF + EBITDA ๋ณตํ•ฉ ๋ฐธ๋ฅ˜์—์ด์…˜. 2026๋…„ ์—ฐ๋‚ด ๊ธฐ์ˆ ์ด์ „ 1๊ฑด ์ด์ƒ ๊ฐ€์ด๋˜์Šค(HM15275 ์‚ผ์ค‘์ž‘์šฉ์ œยท๋น„๋งŒ ๋“ฑ 
    L1_industry: TODO
    L2_bottleneck:
      - TODO
    L3_primary:
      KR:
        - {name: ํ•œ๋ฏธ์•ฝํ’ˆ, code: '128940'}
      Global: []
    L4_picks_shovels:
      KR: []
      Global: []
    L5_ecosystem:
      KR: []
      Global: []
    horizon: 1-3y
    confidence: low
    related_chains: []
    sources:
      - "2026-06-05 Claude marking (watch)"
    notes: |
      ํ•œ๋ฏธ์•ฝํ’ˆ ๋ชฉํ‘œ์ฃผ๊ฐ€ 690,000์›์œผ๋กœ ์ƒํ–ฅ. ์†Œ๋„คํŽ˜๊ธ€๋ฃจํƒ€์ด๋“œ ๋‹จ์žฅ์ฆํ›„๊ตฐ ํ—ˆ๊ฐ€(2033๋…„ ๊ฐ€์ •) DCF + EBITDA ๋ณตํ•ฉ ๋ฐธ๋ฅ˜์—์ด์…˜. 2026๋…„ ์—ฐ๋‚ด ๊ธฐ์ˆ ์ด์ „ 1๊ฑด ์ด์ƒ ๊ฐ€์ด๋˜์Šค(HM15275 ์‚ผ์ค‘์ž‘์šฉ์ œยท๋น„๋งŒ ๋“ฑ ํฌํ•จ). GLP-1 ์‹  modality ๊ตฌ์กฐ์  ์ˆ˜์š” chain ๋‚ด ๊ตญ๋‚ด pipeline ๊ฐ€์‹œํ™”.
๐Ÿ“Œ Watch biopharma-cmo bio

๋ฆฌ๊ฐ€์ผ๋ฐ”์ด์˜ค ADC ํŒŒํŠธ๋„ˆ SOT106 FDA ํฌ๊ท€์˜์•ฝํ’ˆ ์ง€์ • โ€” ADC ํ”Œ๋žซํผ ๊ธฐ์ˆ ์ด์ „ ๊ฐ€์น˜ ์ƒ์Šน catalyst

๋ฆฌ๊ฐ€์ผ๋ฐ”์ด์˜ค ADC ํ”Œ๋žซํผ ๊ธฐ์ˆ ์ด์ „ ํŒŒํŠธ๋„ˆ ์†Œํ‹ฐ์˜ค(SOTIO)์˜ SOT106(LRRC15 ADC)์ด FDA ํฌ๊ท€์˜์•ฝํ’ˆ ์ง€์ • ํš๋“. 7๋…„ ๋ฏธ๊ตญ ์‹œ์žฅ ๋…์ ๊ถŒ, ์ˆ˜์ˆ˜๋ฃŒ ๋ฉด์ œ, FDA ๊ฐ€์ด๋“œ ๊ฐ•ํ™” ๋“ฑ ์ƒ์—…ํ™” ๊ฒฝ๋กœ ๊ฐ€์‹œ์„ฑ ์ œ๊ณ . ํ•˜๋ฐ˜๊ธฐ ๊ธ€๋กœ๋ฒŒ ์ž„์ƒ ์ง„์ž… ์˜ˆ์ •. ADC modality ๊ตฌ์กฐ์  ์ˆ˜์š” ํ™•๋Œ€ chain ๋‚ด ๊ตญ๋‚ด ํ”Œ๋žซํผ ๊ธฐ์—… ์ˆ˜ํ˜œ.
๐Ÿ“Š 62/100 secular catalyst 6m
โš ๏ธ Falsifier (thesis ๋ฐ˜์ „ ์กฐ๊ฑด): [secular-evidence=1] | SOT106 ์ž„์ƒ ์ง„์ž… ์ง€์—ฐ, ๊ธฐ์ˆ ์ด์ „ ๊ณ„์•ฝ ์ถ”๊ฐ€ milestone ๋ฏธ๋‹ฌ, ํŒŒํŠธ๋„ˆ์‚ฌ ๊ฐœ๋ฐœ ์ค‘๋‹จ ์‹œ thesis ์•ฝํ™”. ํ˜„์žฌ ์ •๋Ÿ‰ EPS dimension ๋ฏธํ™•์ธ์œผ๋กœ quant-unconfirmed ์ƒํƒœ.
๐Ÿ“‹ chain yaml snippet (vault์— ์ถ”๊ฐ€)
  - chain_id: mark-20260605-watch-yaml-8
    name: ๋ฆฌ๊ฐ€์ผ๋ฐ”์ด์˜ค ADC ํŒŒํŠธ๋„ˆ SOT106 FDA ํฌ๊ท€์˜์•ฝํ’ˆ ์ง€์ • โ€” ADC ํ”Œ๋žซํผ ๊ธฐ์ˆ ์ด์ „ ๊ฐ€์น˜ ์ƒ์Šน catalyst
    L0_trend: ๋ฆฌ๊ฐ€์ผ๋ฐ”์ด์˜ค ADC ํ”Œ๋žซํผ ๊ธฐ์ˆ ์ด์ „ ํŒŒํŠธ๋„ˆ ์†Œํ‹ฐ์˜ค(SOTIO)์˜ SOT106(LRRC15 ADC)์ด FDA ํฌ๊ท€์˜์•ฝํ’ˆ ์ง€์ • ํš๋“. 7๋…„ ๋ฏธ๊ตญ ์‹œ์žฅ ๋…์ ๊ถŒ, ์ˆ˜์ˆ˜๋ฃŒ ๋ฉด์ œ, FDA ๊ฐ€์ด๋“œ ๊ฐ•ํ™” ๋“ฑ ์ƒ์—…ํ™” ๊ฒฝ๋กœ ๊ฐ€์‹œ์„ฑ ์ œ
    L1_industry: TODO
    L2_bottleneck:
      - TODO
    L3_primary:
      KR:
        - {name: ๋ฆฌ๊ฐ€์ผ๋ฐ”์ด์˜ค, code: '141080'}
      Global: []
    L4_picks_shovels:
      KR: []
      Global: []
    L5_ecosystem:
      KR: []
      Global: []
    horizon: 1-3y
    confidence: low
    related_chains: []
    sources:
      - "2026-06-05 Claude marking (watch)"
    notes: |
      ๋ฆฌ๊ฐ€์ผ๋ฐ”์ด์˜ค ADC ํ”Œ๋žซํผ ๊ธฐ์ˆ ์ด์ „ ํŒŒํŠธ๋„ˆ ์†Œํ‹ฐ์˜ค(SOTIO)์˜ SOT106(LRRC15 ADC)์ด FDA ํฌ๊ท€์˜์•ฝํ’ˆ ์ง€์ • ํš๋“. 7๋…„ ๋ฏธ๊ตญ ์‹œ์žฅ ๋…์ ๊ถŒ, ์ˆ˜์ˆ˜๋ฃŒ ๋ฉด์ œ, FDA ๊ฐ€์ด๋“œ ๊ฐ•ํ™” ๋“ฑ ์ƒ์—…ํ™” ๊ฒฝ๋กœ ๊ฐ€์‹œ์„ฑ ์ œ๊ณ . ํ•˜๋ฐ˜๊ธฐ ๊ธ€๋กœ๋ฒŒ ์ž„์ƒ ์ง„์ž… ์˜ˆ์ •. ADC modality ๊ตฌ์กฐ์  ์ˆ˜์š” ํ™•๋Œ€ chain ๋‚ด ๊ตญ๋‚ด ํ”Œ๋žซํผ ๊ธฐ์—… ์ˆ˜ํ˜œ.
๐Ÿ“Œ Watch battery

LG์—๋„ˆ์ง€์†”๋ฃจ์…˜ ๋ชฉํ‘œ์ฃผ๊ฐ€ 530,000โ†’580,000์› ์ƒํ–ฅ โ€” 46์‹œ๋ฆฌ์ฆˆ ์ˆ˜์ฃผ์ž”๊ณ  300โ†’440GWh(+47%), ESSยทEV ์ •์ƒํ™” ๊ฐ€์‹œํ™”

KB์ฆ๊ถŒ LG์—๋„ˆ์ง€์†”๋ฃจ์…˜ ๋ชฉํ‘œ์ฃผ๊ฐ€ ์ƒํ–ฅ. 46์‹œ๋ฆฌ์ฆˆ ๋ฐฐํ„ฐ๋ฆฌ ์ˆ˜์ฃผ์ž”๊ณ ๊ฐ€ 2025๋…„๋ง 300GWhโ†’2026๋…„ 4์›” 440GWh๋กœ ๊ธ‰์ฆ(+47%). ESS ๋Œ€๊ทœ๋ชจ ์ˆ˜์ฃผ, 2027๋…„ FCF ํ‘์ž์ „ํ™˜ ๊ธฐ๋Œ€. backlog_visibility_strongยทcapex_guidance_raise ํŠธ๋ฆฌ๊ฑฐ ๋ถ€ํ•ฉ. EV ์ˆ˜์š” ์ •์ƒํ™” ์‹œ ์ด์ต ๋ชจ๋ฉ˜ํ…€ ๊ฐ€์† ๊ฐ€๋Šฅ.
๐Ÿ“Š 67/100 secular catalyst 6m
์ปจ์„ผ revision
+8.0%
backlog
high
๋ชฉํ‘œ๊ฐ€ ฮ”
+9.4%
โš ๏ธ Falsifier (thesis ๋ฐ˜์ „ ์กฐ๊ฑด): [secular-evidence=3] | EV ์ˆ˜์š” ์žฌ๋‘”ํ™”, 46์‹œ๋ฆฌ์ฆˆ ์ˆ˜์ฃผ ์ทจ์†Œยท์ง€์—ฐ, ๋ฏธ๊ตญ IRA ๋ณด์กฐ๊ธˆ ์‚ญ๊ฐ ์‹œ thesis ๋ฐ˜์ „.
๐Ÿ“‹ chain yaml snippet (vault์— ์ถ”๊ฐ€)
  - chain_id: mark-20260605-watch-yaml-9
    name: LG์—๋„ˆ์ง€์†”๋ฃจ์…˜ ๋ชฉํ‘œ์ฃผ๊ฐ€ 530,000โ†’580,000์› ์ƒํ–ฅ โ€” 46์‹œ๋ฆฌ์ฆˆ ์ˆ˜์ฃผ์ž”๊ณ  300โ†’440GWh(+47%), ESSยทEV ์ •์ƒํ™” ๊ฐ€์‹œํ™”
    L0_trend: KB์ฆ๊ถŒ LG์—๋„ˆ์ง€์†”๋ฃจ์…˜ ๋ชฉํ‘œ์ฃผ๊ฐ€ ์ƒํ–ฅ. 46์‹œ๋ฆฌ์ฆˆ ๋ฐฐํ„ฐ๋ฆฌ ์ˆ˜์ฃผ์ž”๊ณ ๊ฐ€ 2025๋…„๋ง 300GWhโ†’2026๋…„ 4์›” 440GWh๋กœ ๊ธ‰์ฆ(+47%). ESS ๋Œ€๊ทœ๋ชจ ์ˆ˜์ฃผ, 2027๋…„ FCF ํ‘์ž์ „ํ™˜ ๊ธฐ๋Œ€. backlog_v
    L1_industry: TODO
    L2_bottleneck:
      - TODO
    L3_primary:
      KR:
        - {name: LG์—๋„ˆ์ง€์†”๋ฃจ์…˜, code: '373220'}
      Global: []
    L4_picks_shovels:
      KR: []
      Global: []
    L5_ecosystem:
      KR: []
      Global: []
    horizon: 1-3y
    confidence: low
    related_chains: []
    sources:
      - "2026-06-05 Claude marking (watch)"
    notes: |
      KB์ฆ๊ถŒ LG์—๋„ˆ์ง€์†”๋ฃจ์…˜ ๋ชฉํ‘œ์ฃผ๊ฐ€ ์ƒํ–ฅ. 46์‹œ๋ฆฌ์ฆˆ ๋ฐฐํ„ฐ๋ฆฌ ์ˆ˜์ฃผ์ž”๊ณ ๊ฐ€ 2025๋…„๋ง 300GWhโ†’2026๋…„ 4์›” 440GWh๋กœ ๊ธ‰์ฆ(+47%). ESS ๋Œ€๊ทœ๋ชจ ์ˆ˜์ฃผ, 2027๋…„ FCF ํ‘์ž์ „ํ™˜ ๊ธฐ๋Œ€. backlog_visibility_strongยทcapex_guidance_raise ํŠธ๋ฆฌ๊ฑฐ ๋ถ€ํ•ฉ. EV ์ˆ˜์š” ์ •์ƒํ™” ์‹œ ์ด์ต ๋ชจ๋ฉ˜ํ…€ ๊ฐ€์† ๊ฐ€๋Šฅ.
๐Ÿ“Œ Watch biopharma-cmo bio

ํ•œ์˜ฌ๋ฐ”์ด์˜คํŒŒ๋งˆ ๋ชฉํ‘œ์ฃผ๊ฐ€ +170.8% ์ƒํ–ฅ(์‹ ํ•œํˆฌ์ž์ฆ๊ถŒ) โ€” ๋ฆด๋ฆฌ modality ํ™•์žฅ chain ์ˆ˜ํ˜œ broker ๊ฐ•๋„ ๋†’์€ revision ํ™•์ธ

์‹ ํ•œํˆฌ์ž์ฆ๊ถŒ์ด ํ•œ์˜ฌ๋ฐ”์ด์˜คํŒŒ๋งˆ ๋ชฉํ‘œ์ฃผ๊ฐ€ 48,000โ†’130,000์›(+170.8%)์œผ๋กœ ๋Œ€ํญ ์ƒํ–ฅ. ๋ฆด๋ฆฌ์˜ ์‹  modality ํ™•์žฅ M&A ๊ฐ€์†๊ณผ ๋งž๋ฌผ๋ ค ํ•œ๊ตญ ๋ฐ”์ด์˜ค CMO chain ์ˆ˜ํ˜œ thesis ๊ฐ•ํ™”. ์ •ํ›ˆ๋‹˜ ๊ด€์‹ฌ๋“ฑ๋ก ์ข…๋ชฉ์œผ๋กœ target_price_surge ํŠธ๋ฆฌ๊ฑฐ ์ถฉ์กฑ.
๐Ÿ“Š 70/100 secular catalyst 6m
์ปจ์„ผ revision
+20.0%
๋ชฉํ‘œ๊ฐ€ ฮ”
+170.8%
โš ๏ธ Falsifier (thesis ๋ฐ˜์ „ ์กฐ๊ฑด): [secular-evidence=3] | ๋ฆด๋ฆฌ ์œ„ํƒ ๊ณ„์•ฝ ๋ฏธ์ฒด๊ฒฐ, ๊ธฐ์ˆ ์ด์ „ ์ž„์ƒ ์‹คํŒจ, broker ๋‹จ์ผ coverage(์‹ ๋ขฐ๋„ 0.7x ์ ์šฉ) ํ™•์ธ ์‹œ watch ์œ ์ง€ or cut.
๐Ÿ“‹ chain yaml snippet (vault์— ์ถ”๊ฐ€)
  - chain_id: mark-20260605-watch-yaml-10
    name: ํ•œ์˜ฌ๋ฐ”์ด์˜คํŒŒ๋งˆ ๋ชฉํ‘œ์ฃผ๊ฐ€ +170.8% ์ƒํ–ฅ(์‹ ํ•œํˆฌ์ž์ฆ๊ถŒ) โ€” ๋ฆด๋ฆฌ modality ํ™•์žฅ chain ์ˆ˜ํ˜œ broker ๊ฐ•๋„ ๋†’์€ revision ํ™•์ธ
    L0_trend: ์‹ ํ•œํˆฌ์ž์ฆ๊ถŒ์ด ํ•œ์˜ฌ๋ฐ”์ด์˜คํŒŒ๋งˆ ๋ชฉํ‘œ์ฃผ๊ฐ€ 48,000โ†’130,000์›(+170.8%)์œผ๋กœ ๋Œ€ํญ ์ƒํ–ฅ. ๋ฆด๋ฆฌ์˜ ์‹  modality ํ™•์žฅ M&A ๊ฐ€์†๊ณผ ๋งž๋ฌผ๋ ค ํ•œ๊ตญ ๋ฐ”์ด์˜ค CMO chain ์ˆ˜ํ˜œ thesis ๊ฐ•ํ™”. ์ •ํ›ˆ๋‹˜ 
    L1_industry: TODO
    L2_bottleneck:
      - TODO
    L3_primary:
      KR:
        - {name: ํ•œ์˜ฌ๋ฐ”์ด์˜คํŒŒ๋งˆ, code: '009420'}
      Global: []
    L4_picks_shovels:
      KR: []
      Global: []
    L5_ecosystem:
      KR: []
      Global: []
    horizon: 1-3y
    confidence: low
    related_chains: []
    sources:
      - "2026-06-05 Claude marking (watch)"
    notes: |
      ์‹ ํ•œํˆฌ์ž์ฆ๊ถŒ์ด ํ•œ์˜ฌ๋ฐ”์ด์˜คํŒŒ๋งˆ ๋ชฉํ‘œ์ฃผ๊ฐ€ 48,000โ†’130,000์›(+170.8%)์œผ๋กœ ๋Œ€ํญ ์ƒํ–ฅ. ๋ฆด๋ฆฌ์˜ ์‹  modality ํ™•์žฅ M&A ๊ฐ€์†๊ณผ ๋งž๋ฌผ๋ ค ํ•œ๊ตญ ๋ฐ”์ด์˜ค CMO chain ์ˆ˜ํ˜œ thesis ๊ฐ•ํ™”. ์ •ํ›ˆ๋‹˜ ๊ด€์‹ฌ๋“ฑ๋ก ์ข…๋ชฉ์œผ๋กœ target_price_surge ํŠธ๋ฆฌ๊ฑฐ ์ถฉ์กฑ.
๐Ÿ“Œ Watch biopharma-cmo bio

์ผ๋ผ์ด ๋ฆด๋ฆฌ, $19์–ต Ascidian RNA ํŽธ์ง‘ ๊ธฐ์ˆ  ๊ณ„์•ฝ โ€” ์ƒˆ modality ํ™•์žฅ M&A ๊ฐ€์†, ์‚ผ์„ฑ๋ฐ”์ด์˜คยทํ•œ์˜ฌ๋ฐ”์ด์˜คํŒŒ๋งˆ CMO ์ˆ˜ํ˜œ chain ์žฌํ™•์ธ

์ผ๋ผ์ด ๋ฆด๋ฆฌ๊ฐ€ ํ•ด์–‘ ๋ฌด์ฒ™์ถ”๋™๋ฌผ(Ascidian) RNA ํŽธ์ง‘ ๊ธฐ์ˆ  $19์–ต ๊ทœ๋ชจ ๊ณ„์•ฝ ์ฒด๊ฒฐ๋กœ ๋น„๋งŒยท๋Œ€์‚ฌ ์™ธ ์‹ ๊ทœ modality ํ™•์žฅ ์‹ ํ˜ธ. ์ •ํ›ˆ๋‹˜ ๊ด€์‹ฌ๋“ฑ๋ก(๋ฆด๋ฆฌ GLP-1 M&A chain, ์‚ผ์„ฑ๋ฐ”์ด์˜คยทํ•œ์˜ฌ๋ฐ”์ด์˜คํŒŒ๋งˆ ์ˆ˜ํ˜œ)๊ณผ ์ง๊ฒฐ. ๋ฆด๋ฆฌ์˜ ๊ณต๊ฒฉ์  ์‚ฌ์—… ๋‹ค๊ฐํ™”๊ฐ€ CMOยทCDMO ์œ„ํƒ ์ˆ˜์š”๋ฅผ ๊ตฌ์กฐ์ ์œผ๋กœ ํ™•๋Œ€ํ•˜๋Š” catalyst๋กœ ์ž‘์šฉ.
๐Ÿ“Š 68/100 secular catalyst 6m
โš ๏ธ Falsifier (thesis ๋ฐ˜์ „ ์กฐ๊ฑด): [secular-evidence=1] | ๋ฆด๋ฆฌ M&A ํŒŒ์ดํ”„๋ผ์ธ์ด ๊ธฐ์กด CMO ์œ„ํƒ ์—†์ด ๋‚ด์žฌํ™” ์ „๋žต์œผ๋กœ ์„ ํšŒํ•˜๊ฑฐ๋‚˜, ํ•œ์˜ฌ๋ฐ”์ด์˜คํŒŒ๋งˆ ๊ธฐ์ˆ ์ด์ „ ๊ณ„์•ฝ ์ถ”๊ฐ€ ์ง„์ „ ๋ถ€์žฌ ์‹œ thesis ์•ฝํ™”.
๐Ÿ“‹ chain yaml snippet (vault์— ์ถ”๊ฐ€)
  - chain_id: mark-20260605-watch-yaml-11
    name: ์ผ๋ผ์ด ๋ฆด๋ฆฌ, $19์–ต Ascidian RNA ํŽธ์ง‘ ๊ธฐ์ˆ  ๊ณ„์•ฝ โ€” ์ƒˆ modality ํ™•์žฅ M&A ๊ฐ€์†, ์‚ผ์„ฑ๋ฐ”์ด์˜คยทํ•œ์˜ฌ๋ฐ”์ด์˜คํŒŒ๋งˆ CMO ์ˆ˜ํ˜œ chain ์žฌํ™•์ธ
    L0_trend: ์ผ๋ผ์ด ๋ฆด๋ฆฌ๊ฐ€ ํ•ด์–‘ ๋ฌด์ฒ™์ถ”๋™๋ฌผ(Ascidian) RNA ํŽธ์ง‘ ๊ธฐ์ˆ  $19์–ต ๊ทœ๋ชจ ๊ณ„์•ฝ ์ฒด๊ฒฐ๋กœ ๋น„๋งŒยท๋Œ€์‚ฌ ์™ธ ์‹ ๊ทœ modality ํ™•์žฅ ์‹ ํ˜ธ. ์ •ํ›ˆ๋‹˜ ๊ด€์‹ฌ๋“ฑ๋ก(๋ฆด๋ฆฌ GLP-1 M&A chain, ์‚ผ์„ฑ๋ฐ”์ด์˜คยทํ•œ์˜ฌ๋ฐ”์ด์˜คํŒŒ
    L1_industry: TODO
    L2_bottleneck:
      - TODO
    L3_primary:
      KR:
        - {name: ์‚ผ์„ฑ๋ฐ”์ด์˜ค๋กœ์ง์Šค, code: '207940'}
        - {name: ํ•œ์˜ฌ๋ฐ”์ด์˜คํŒŒ๋งˆ, code: '009420'}
      Global: []
    L4_picks_shovels:
      KR: []
      Global: []
    L5_ecosystem:
      KR: []
      Global: []
    horizon: 1-3y
    confidence: low
    related_chains: []
    sources:
      - "2026-06-05 Claude marking (watch)"
    notes: |
      ์ผ๋ผ์ด ๋ฆด๋ฆฌ๊ฐ€ ํ•ด์–‘ ๋ฌด์ฒ™์ถ”๋™๋ฌผ(Ascidian) RNA ํŽธ์ง‘ ๊ธฐ์ˆ  $19์–ต ๊ทœ๋ชจ ๊ณ„์•ฝ ์ฒด๊ฒฐ๋กœ ๋น„๋งŒยท๋Œ€์‚ฌ ์™ธ ์‹ ๊ทœ modality ํ™•์žฅ ์‹ ํ˜ธ. ์ •ํ›ˆ๋‹˜ ๊ด€์‹ฌ๋“ฑ๋ก(๋ฆด๋ฆฌ GLP-1 M&A chain, ์‚ผ์„ฑ๋ฐ”์ด์˜คยทํ•œ์˜ฌ๋ฐ”์ด์˜คํŒŒ๋งˆ ์ˆ˜ํ˜œ)๊ณผ ์ง๊ฒฐ. ๋ฆด๋ฆฌ์˜ ๊ณต๊ฒฉ์  ์‚ฌ์—… ๋‹ค๊ฐํ™”๊ฐ€ CMOยทCDMO ์œ„ํƒ ์ˆ˜์š”๋ฅผ ๊ตฌ์กฐ์ ์œผ๋กœ ํ™•๋Œ€ํ•˜๋Š” catalyst๋กœ ์ž‘์šฉ.
๐Ÿ“Œ Watch ai-substrate semiconductor

๋ธŒ๋กœ๋“œ์ปด FY2Q26 AI ๋งค์ถœ +143% YoY โ€” ๊ธฐ๋Œ€ ์ถฉ์กฑยท๊ฐ€์ด๋˜์Šค ๋ฏธ๋‹ฌ๋กœ ์ฃผ๊ฐ€ ๊ธ‰๋ฝ, ํ•œ๊ตญ ๋ฉ”๋ชจ๋ฆฌยท๊ธฐํŒ chain ์žฌ์ ๊ฒ€

๋ธŒ๋กœ๋“œ์ปด FY2Q26 ๋งค์ถœ $222์–ต(+48% YoY), AI ๋งค์ถœ +143% YoY๋กœ ์ปจ์„ผ ๋ถ€ํ•ฉํ–ˆ์œผ๋‚˜ FY3Q26 ๊ฐ€์ด๋˜์Šค๊ฐ€ ์‹œ์žฅ ๊ธฐ๋Œ€ ํ•˜ํšŒํ•ด ์ฃผ๊ฐ€ -12.59% ๊ธ‰๋ฝ. Custom ASIC ๊ตฌ์กฐ์  ์„ฑ์žฅ์€ ์œ ํšจํ•˜๋‚˜ ๋‹จ๊ธฐ ๋ฐธ๋ฅ˜์—์ด์…˜ ๋ถ€๋‹ด ๋ถ€๊ฐ. SKํ•˜์ด๋‹‰์Šคยท์‚ผ์„ฑ์ „์žยท์‹ฌํ… ๋“ฑ ํ•œ๊ตญ AI ๋ฐ˜๋„์ฒด chain ์ˆ˜์š” ๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜์€ ํ›ผ์†๋˜์ง€ ์•Š์•˜์œผ๋‚˜ ๋‹จ๊ธฐ ์„ผํ‹ฐ๋ฉ˜ํŠธ ์••๋ ฅ ํ™•์ธ. ์ •ํ›ˆ๋‹˜ ๊ด€์‹ฌ๋“ฑ๋ก(๋ธŒ๋กœ๋“œ์ปด 2Q26 ์‹ค์  ๋งˆํ‚น)๊ณผ ์ง๊ฒฐ.
๐Ÿ“Š 72/100 secular catalyst 1m quality high
EPS YoY
+54.0%
์ปจ์„ผ revision
+5.0%
SUE streak
2๋ถ„๊ธฐ ์—ฐ์†
backlog
high
โš ๏ธ Falsifier (thesis ๋ฐ˜์ „ ์กฐ๊ฑด): [secular-evidence=4] | ๋ธŒ๋กœ๋“œ์ปด FY3Q26 AI ๋งค์ถœ ๊ฐ€์ด๋˜์Šค ์ถ”๊ฐ€ ํ•˜ํ–ฅ, Custom ASIC ์ˆ˜์ฃผ ํŒŒ์ดํ”„๋ผ์ธ ๊ณต๋ฐฑ ์‹œ ํ•œ๊ตญ chain ์ˆ˜ํ˜œ thesis ๋ฐ˜์ „.
๐Ÿ“‹ chain yaml snippet (vault์— ์ถ”๊ฐ€)
  - chain_id: mark-20260605-watch-yaml-12
    name: ๋ธŒ๋กœ๋“œ์ปด FY2Q26 AI ๋งค์ถœ +143% YoY โ€” ๊ธฐ๋Œ€ ์ถฉ์กฑยท๊ฐ€์ด๋˜์Šค ๋ฏธ๋‹ฌ๋กœ ์ฃผ๊ฐ€ ๊ธ‰๋ฝ, ํ•œ๊ตญ ๋ฉ”๋ชจ๋ฆฌยท๊ธฐํŒ chain ์žฌ์ ๊ฒ€
    L0_trend: ๋ธŒ๋กœ๋“œ์ปด FY2Q26 ๋งค์ถœ $222์–ต(+48% YoY), AI ๋งค์ถœ +143% YoY๋กœ ์ปจ์„ผ ๋ถ€ํ•ฉํ–ˆ์œผ๋‚˜ FY3Q26 ๊ฐ€์ด๋˜์Šค๊ฐ€ ์‹œ์žฅ ๊ธฐ๋Œ€ ํ•˜ํšŒํ•ด ์ฃผ๊ฐ€ -12.59% ๊ธ‰๋ฝ. Custom ASIC ๊ตฌ์กฐ์  ์„ฑ์žฅ์€ ์œ ํšจํ•˜๋‚˜
    L1_industry: TODO
    L2_bottleneck:
      - TODO
    L3_primary:
      KR:
        - {name: SKํ•˜์ด๋‹‰์Šค, code: '000660'}
        - {name: ์‚ผ์„ฑ์ „์ž, code: '005930'}
        - {name: ์‹ฌํ…, code: '222800'}
        - {name: ๋Œ€๋•์ „์ž, code: '353200'}
      Global: []
    L4_picks_shovels:
      KR: []
      Global: []
    L5_ecosystem:
      KR: []
      Global: []
    horizon: 1-3y
    confidence: low
    related_chains: []
    sources:
      - "2026-06-05 Claude marking (watch)"
    notes: |
      ๋ธŒ๋กœ๋“œ์ปด FY2Q26 ๋งค์ถœ $222์–ต(+48% YoY), AI ๋งค์ถœ +143% YoY๋กœ ์ปจ์„ผ ๋ถ€ํ•ฉํ–ˆ์œผ๋‚˜ FY3Q26 ๊ฐ€์ด๋˜์Šค๊ฐ€ ์‹œ์žฅ ๊ธฐ๋Œ€ ํ•˜ํšŒํ•ด ์ฃผ๊ฐ€ -12.59% ๊ธ‰๋ฝ. Custom ASIC ๊ตฌ์กฐ์  ์„ฑ์žฅ์€ ์œ ํšจํ•˜๋‚˜ ๋‹จ๊ธฐ ๋ฐธ๋ฅ˜์—์ด์…˜ ๋ถ€๋‹ด ๋ถ€๊ฐ. SKํ•˜์ด๋‹‰์Šคยท์‚ผ์„ฑ์ „์žยท์‹ฌํ… ๋“ฑ ํ•œ๊ตญ AI ๋ฐ˜๋„์ฒด chain ์ˆ˜์š” ๊ธฐ๋ฐ˜์€ ํ›ผ์†๋˜์ง€ ์•Š์•˜์œผ๋‚˜ ๋‹จ๊ธฐ ์„ผํ‹ฐ๋ฉ˜ํŠธ ์••๋ ฅ ํ™•์ธ

๐Ÿ’ก New Chain ํ›„๋ณด (1๊ฑด)

์ •ํ›ˆ๋‹˜์ด chain master yaml์— ์ถ”๊ฐ€ ๊ฒ€ํ†  โ€” ~/projects/raki-vault/master/topdown_chains.yaml

๐Ÿ’ก ํ›„๋ณด bio

๊ตญ๋‚ด ์•ฝ๊ฐ€ ์ธํ•˜ 8์›” ์‹œํ–‰ โ€” ๋ณต์ œ์•ฝ ๋งˆ์ง„ ์••๋ฐ• ์† CDMO ์ „ํ™˜ ๊ฐ€์†, K-๋ฐ”์ด์˜ค ์‚ฌ์—… ๊ตฌ์กฐ ์žฌํŽธ ์‹ ํ˜ธ

์ •๋ถ€์˜ ์•ฝ๊ฐ€ ์ธํ•˜ ์กฐ์น˜๊ฐ€ 8์›” ์‹œํ–‰ ์˜ˆ์ •(๋ณต์ œ์•ฝ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ 53.55%โ†’45%๋กœ ๋‹จ๊ณ„์  ์ธํ•˜). ๊ตญ๋‚ด ์ œ์•ฝ์‚ฌ ๋งค์ถœ 20% ๊ฐ์†Œ ์˜ˆ์ƒ ์† ๊ณ ๋งˆ์ง„ ์ œํ’ˆ ํฌํŠธํด๋ฆฌ์˜ค ์žฌํŽธ ๋ฐ CDMO ์ „ํ™˜ ๊ฐ€์†. ๊ธฐ์กด biopharma-cmo chain์˜ ๊ธ€๋กœ๋ฒŒ modality ์ˆ˜์š” ์™ธ์— ๊ตญ๋‚ด ๊ทœ์ œ ๋ณ€ํ™”๊ฐ€ CDMO ์ „ํ™˜์„ ๊ตฌ์กฐ์ ์œผ๋กœ ๊ฐ•์ œํ•˜๋Š” ์ƒˆ๋กœ์šด ๋‚ด๋ถ€ driver ๋ฐœ์ƒ. ์‚ผ์„ฑ๋ฐ”์ด์˜ค๋กœ์ง์Šค ๋“ฑ CDMO ํ”Œ๋žซํผ ๊ธฐ์—…์˜ ๊ตญ๋‚ด ์œ„ํƒ ์ˆ˜์š” ์ถ”๊ฐ€ ์ˆ˜ํ˜œ ๊ฐ€๋Šฅ์„ฑ.
๐Ÿ“Š 55/100 secular catalyst 3m
โš ๏ธ Falsifier (thesis ๋ฐ˜์ „ ์กฐ๊ฑด): [secular-evidence=1] | ์•ฝ๊ฐ€ ์ธํ•˜ ์‹œํ–‰ ์ง€์—ฐ ๋˜๋Š” ์œ ์˜ˆ, ์ œ์•ฝ์‚ฌ์˜ CDMO ์ „ํ™˜ ์ˆ˜์š”๊ฐ€ ๊ธฐ๋Œ€ ์ดํ•˜๋กœ ์‹คํ˜„๋  ๊ฒฝ์šฐ thesis ์•ฝํ™”. ์ •๋Ÿ‰ EPS ํ™•์ธ ๋ฏธ์™„๋ฃŒ ์ƒํƒœ(quant-unconfirmed).
๐Ÿ“‹ chain yaml snippet (vault์— ์ถ”๊ฐ€)
  - chain_id: mark-20260605-newchain-yaml-0
    name: ๊ตญ๋‚ด ์•ฝ๊ฐ€ ์ธํ•˜ 8์›” ์‹œํ–‰ โ€” ๋ณต์ œ์•ฝ ๋งˆ์ง„ ์••๋ฐ• ์† CDMO ์ „ํ™˜ ๊ฐ€์†, K-๋ฐ”์ด์˜ค ์‚ฌ์—… ๊ตฌ์กฐ ์žฌํŽธ ์‹ ํ˜ธ
    L0_trend: ์ •๋ถ€์˜ ์•ฝ๊ฐ€ ์ธํ•˜ ์กฐ์น˜๊ฐ€ 8์›” ์‹œํ–‰ ์˜ˆ์ •(๋ณต์ œ์•ฝ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ 53.55%โ†’45%๋กœ ๋‹จ๊ณ„์  ์ธํ•˜). ๊ตญ๋‚ด ์ œ์•ฝ์‚ฌ ๋งค์ถœ 20% ๊ฐ์†Œ ์˜ˆ์ƒ ์† ๊ณ ๋งˆ์ง„ ์ œํ’ˆ ํฌํŠธํด๋ฆฌ์˜ค ์žฌํŽธ ๋ฐ CDMO ์ „ํ™˜ ๊ฐ€์†. ๊ธฐ์กด biopharma-cmo 
    L1_industry: TODO
    L2_bottleneck:
      - TODO
    L3_primary:
      KR:
        - {name: ์‚ผ์„ฑ๋ฐ”์ด์˜ค๋กœ์ง์Šค, code: '207940'}
      Global: []
    L4_picks_shovels:
      KR: []
      Global: []
    L5_ecosystem:
      KR: []
      Global: []
    horizon: 1-3y
    confidence: low
    related_chains: []
    sources:
      - "2026-06-05 Claude marking (new_chain)"
    notes: |
      ์ •๋ถ€์˜ ์•ฝ๊ฐ€ ์ธํ•˜ ์กฐ์น˜๊ฐ€ 8์›” ์‹œํ–‰ ์˜ˆ์ •(๋ณต์ œ์•ฝ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ 53.55%โ†’45%๋กœ ๋‹จ๊ณ„์  ์ธํ•˜). ๊ตญ๋‚ด ์ œ์•ฝ์‚ฌ ๋งค์ถœ 20% ๊ฐ์†Œ ์˜ˆ์ƒ ์† ๊ณ ๋งˆ์ง„ ์ œํ’ˆ ํฌํŠธํด๋ฆฌ์˜ค ์žฌํŽธ ๋ฐ CDMO ์ „ํ™˜ ๊ฐ€์†. ๊ธฐ์กด biopharma-cmo chain์˜ ๊ธ€๋กœ๋ฒŒ modality ์ˆ˜์š” ์™ธ์— ๊ตญ๋‚ด ๊ทœ์ œ ๋ณ€ํ™”๊ฐ€ CDMO ์ „ํ™˜์„ ๊ตฌ์กฐ์ ์œผ๋กœ ๊ฐ•์ œํ•˜๋Š” ์ƒˆ๋กœ์šด ๋‚ด๋ถ€ driver ๋ฐœ์ƒ. ์‚ผ์„ฑ๋ฐ”์ด์˜ค๋กœ

์ถ”๊ฐ€ ์ ˆ์ฐจ: 1) ๋ณต์‚ฌ ๋ฒ„ํŠผ โ†’ 2) ~/projects/raki-vault/master/topdown_chains.yaml ์—ด๊ธฐ โ†’ 3) chains: ์•„๋ž˜์— paste โ†’ 4) TODO ๋ถ€๋ถ„ ์ˆ˜์ • โ†’ 5) ๋‹ค์Œ ๋นŒ๋“œ์—์„œ /topdown/์— ๋ฐ˜์˜.